MI vs CSK. IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Match 38 [Source: AP Photos]
The upcoming clash between Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings at the Wankhede Stadium promises to be a critical encounter in IPL 2025. MI enters this match with momentum, having won their last two games and looking to continue their climb up the points table. In contrast, CSK has struggled through most of the tournament, winning just their last match after a concerning streak of five consecutive defeats. With both teams positioned towards the bottom of the table, this traditional rivalry carries extra significance as the loser might find their playoff hopes severely diminished. The batting-friendly Wankhede Stadium sets the stage for what could be a desperate battle between two heavyweight franchises fighting to salvage their seasons.
MI vs CSK Toss Prediction
Comprehensive venue analysis reveals that the Wankhede Stadium has evolved significantly over recent seasons. In IPL 2023, the venue showed relative balance between innings with a 4.7-run advantage for teams batting first, but in IPL 2024, this gap widened to 12.1 runs, creating more favourable conditions for the first innings. Teams winning the toss are likely to choose to bat first, capitalising on the increasingly favourable first innings conditions while avoiding the pressure of chasing at a venue that has historically been challenging for teams batting second.
MI vs CSK Predicted Score Today
Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings
180-195
MI 65%, CSK 35%
2nd Innings
165-175
40% win probability for chasing team
MI vs CSK Predicted Top Performers
Mumbai Indians
Player
Role
Form
Surya Kumar Yadav
Batter
⬆️
Hardik Pandya
All-rounder
⬆️
Trent Boult
Bowler
⬆️
Chennai Super Kings
Player
Role
Form
Rachin Ravindra
Batter
⬆️
MS Dhoni
Batter
⬆️
Noor Ahmad
Bowler
⬆️
MI vs CSK Momentum Shifters
Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
Surya Kumar Yadav's Innings
60+ runs at 150+ SR
+32% win probability for MI
Noor Ahmad's Bowling
3+ wickets with economy under 7.5
+30% win probability for CSK
N Tilak Varma in Middle Overs
45+ runs at 135+ SR
+25% win probability for MI
MS Dhoni's Finishing
25+ runs at 175+ SR in death overs
+28% win probability for CSK
Hardik Pandya's All-round Performance
30+ runs and 2+ wickets
+35% win probability for MI
Ravindra Jadeja's Economy Rate
Economy under 7.0 for 4 overs
+22% win probability for CSK
MI vs CSK Win Probability
MI vs CSK, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]
MI vs CSK Predicted Winner
Mumbai Indians to win, leveraging their home advantage and strong batting lineup at Wankhede Stadium. While Noor Ahmad's exceptional formpresents a significant threat, MI's batting depth led by Surya Kumar Yadav and N Tilak Varma could prove crucial in setting or chasing a competitive total against CSK's bowling attack.
The match is likely to be decided by which team adapts better to the batting-friendly conditions at Wankhede Stadium, which has transformed from a relatively balanced venue to one increasingly favoring teams batting first, with boundary percentage remaining consistently high at around 20% across both 2023 and 2024 seasons.