LSG vs DC Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?

Probuddha Bhattacharjee

LSG vs DC, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 40 [Source: AP Photos]LSG vs DC, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 40 [Source: AP Photos]

The 40th match of IPL 2025 between Lucknow Super Giants and Delhi Capitals at Ekana Cricket Stadium sets up an intriguing contest between two teams with contrasting strengths. LSG, with their powerful batting lineup led by Nicholas Pooran and Mitchell Marsh, will face DC's balanced bowling attack spearheaded by Kuldeep Yadav and Mitchell Starc. The Ekana Stadium, which has transformed into a more batting-friendly venue compared to previous seasons, will host this crucial encounter on April 22 at 7:30 PM IST.

LSG vs DC Toss Prediction

Analysis of the Ekana Stadium's recent history shows a growing advantage for teams batting second. This trend appears to be continuing in 2025. Given these patterns and the historical success of teams chasing totals at this venue, the captain winning the toss is likely to opt to field first.

LSG vs DC Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings175-185LSG 58%, DC 42%
2nd Innings160-17042% win probability for chasing team

LSG vs DC Predicted Top Performers

Lucknow Super Giants

Player
Role
Form
Nicholas PooranBatsman⬆️
Shardul ThakurBowler⬆️
Aiden MarkramBatsman⬆️

Delhi Capitals

Player
Role
Form
K L RahulBatsman⬆️
Kuldeep YadavBowler⬆️
Tristan StubbsBatsman⬆️

LSG vs DC Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
LSG's Middle Order Explosion70+ runs at 170+ SR between overs 11-15+25% win probability for LSG
DC's Powerplay Bowling3+ wickets at economy under 8.0+27% win probability for DC
LSG's Spin Bowling in Middle OversEconomy under 7.0 in overs 7-15+23% win probability for LSG
DC's Middle Order Recovery40+ runs partnership after losing early wickets+24% win probability for DC
LSG's Death Batting50+ runs in final 4 overs+26% win probability for LSG
DC's Spin vs Right-handersRight-handed batsmen scoring under 35 at SR below 125+22% win probability for DC

LSG vs DC Win Probability

LSG vs DC, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]LSG vs DC, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]

LSG vs DC OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Delhi Capitals to win, defying the probability numbers by exploiting specific Ekana Stadium conditions. While LSG holds the statistical edge with their power-hitting middle order, DC's bowling attack is perfectly suited for this venue. Ekana's pitch, though improved for batting, still offers significant assistance to quality spinners in the middle overs – precisely where Kuldeep Yadav (economy 6.21) excels. Additionally, the slightly slower outfield compared to other IPL venues negates some of LSG's boundary-hitting advantage.

The elevated first innings scores at Ekana (182.86 in 2024) have created a perception of batting dominance, but the 9th and 12th overs historically remain low-scoring (5.40 and 6.50 runs per over in 2023). DC's tactical awareness of these scoring patterns and their superior bowling variety should allow them to overcome the home advantage and secure a crucial away victory.