The ongoing edition of the T20 World Cup has thrown more surprises than anyone would have expected and it can be established by the fact that one of the firm favourites are already out of the race for the semi-finalists spot and another one are just clinging on to a glimmer of hope on the brilliance of a side who were considered a mere participant before the start of the tournament.
It doesn’t happen every day that a game between two sides has more meaning for a third side that is not a party in the contest, but the game between New Zealand and Afghanistan is one such rare occurrence.
When Mohammad Nabi will lead his Afghan warriors onto the field against the Blackcaps, he would surely know that they would be carrying the hopes and opportunities of a billion people from India.
They would be aware of what their victory could achieve for the men in blue, but will that make them play any different? Hard to say yes to that question but it would certainly give them the freedom to put all their heart and soul into the game because they could too replace India and New Zealand if they win big.
India would celebrate even a win for them, and more so a close win for them as their net run rate will make them firm favourites to go through.
On the face of it, Afghanistan have triumphed more than they could have aspired to before the tournament and hence how motivated they would be and how much belief they would have in themselves to beat both New Zealand in the game and India on a net run rate basis will dictate the flow of the game.
On the other hand, New Zealand are a more settled side and the world knows what they bring to the table. They have filled their batting order with swashbuckling stroke makers and all-around batsmen such as the skipper Kane Williamson to arrest unaffordable situations while batting.
They have banked on their pace attack led by the experienced duo of Tim Southee and Trent Boult to do the bulk of damage but their spin twins of Ish Sodhi and Mitchell Santner have not been a walkover either. Instead, they have been a force to be reckoned with and choked the Indian batting unit to the brink of early elimination from the tournament.
Now, having seen all of the conditions on offer in the tournament, New Zealand should fancy their chances to advance through the semi-finals having beaten India in one of the two stiff competitions they were to deal with before the tournament had begun.
However, close contests against both Scotland and Namibia for a considerable length of the games don’t make them indomitable favourites to win the game and there lies the anticipation of a contest and a big build-up for the game.
Contest within contest
Williamson vs Rashid
A lot of the reasoning behind not making New Zealand a clear favourite is the presence of quality spinners in the Afghanistan team and the best of them all is Rashid Khan, who is quite capable of turning things on his own in a maximum of four overs.
He has been held back and has been used strategically after the end of powerplay by Nabi and if the trend continues, he would have to take on Kane Williamson, who is the best batsman against spinners in the Blackcaps squad.
If the Kiwis have to break the spinners' outright dominance on them, Williamson will have to be the man with the bat for the Blackcaps while Rashid has been the trump card for all the sides he plays and the story will be a lot more serious in the game.
If Afghanistan have to halt New Zealand to either qualify or raise their reputation at the world stage and earn the huge wave of love from India, Rashid will have to spin a web around the Blackcaps batting unit and that can’t be made possible without eliminating the threat of Williamson.
Match details
New Zealand vs Afghanistan,
Match no.: 40, Super 12 Group 2
Date & Time: Nov 07, 02:00 PM LOCAL, 03:30 IST
Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Pitch conditions
The pitches in Abu Dhabi have been quite supportive to the pace bowlers and Kagiso Rabada’s dominance over Bangladesh and Josh Hazlewood’s dominance over the West Indies batting unit shows some sort of pattern and should impart huge confidence in the New Zealand bowling unit.
On the other hand, there will be no due to come as a relief for batsmen and that will give Afghanistan spinners a chance to extract the best out of the surface when the ball will be absolutely dry.
Afghanistan have been an outlier in the tournament with their eagerness to bat first and defend a total except for the last game against India and the pitch conditions in Abu Dhabi and hammering they got at the hands of India should force them to go back to their tried and tested tactic.
However, batting first will bring Kiwis pacers into the game and in a way, the game will be decided on how good or bad the two batting units bat against each other’s bowling unit.
Team news
Afghanistan
Afghanistan had to field their playing XI without Mujeeb Ur Rahman in the last game against India and all including the Indian team are hoping for his return to full fitness for the big game for all three sides.
Apart from him, there is no contention for places in the side and Mohammad Nabi should field a settled XI in their last game of the tournament which could also be their last game for some time at such a big stage.
Probable XI
Hazratullah Zazai, Mohammad Shahzad (WK), Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Gulbadin Naib, Najibullah Zadran, Mohammad Nabi (C), Karim Janat, Rashid Khan, Mujeeb Ur Rahman, Naveen-ul-Haq, Hamid Hassan.
New Zealand
New Zealand have no reasons whatsoever to change their performing playing XI for one final big game before the big semi-finals.
They will carry on with playing the pace trio of Southee, Boult and Adam Milne and the pitch in UAE should give them plenty of hope and excitement against Afghanistan, who are not known for their abilities against high pace and quality swing.
Probable XI
Martin Guptill, Daryl Mitchell, Kane Williamson (C), Devon Conway (WK), Glenn Phillips, James Neesham, Mitchell Santner, Adam Milne, Tim Southee, Ish Sodhi, Trent Boult.
CE Fantasy XI
Devon Conway, Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Martin Guptill, Kane Williamson, Najibullah Zadran, Mohammad Nabi, Mitchell Santner, Karim Janat, Trent Boult, Ish Sodhi and Rashid Khan
Captain: Kane Williamson
Vice-captain: Rahmanullah Gurbaz